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Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Adobe's performance guidance fell less than expected by more than 9% after hours. Adobe gave disappointing performance guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting concerns that this creative software giant may be subverted by emerging startups based on artificial intelligence. The company said in a statement on Wednesday that it expects revenue of about $23.4 billion in the fiscal year ending November 2025. Earnings per share excluding some items are expected to be $20.2-$20.5. Analysts expect an average revenue of $23.8 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $20.52. Adobe, known for its software for creative professionals, is adding generative AI functions to its applications, such as embedding its proprietary model Firefly into products such as Photoshop. Adobe released an AI tool for making videos at the annual user conference in October, which has been embedded in the editing application Premiere and is gradually being promoted to the public. Adobe shares fell more than 9% in after-hours trading.Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.

Four people were injured when a bus in Jerusalem was shot, and four people were injured when a bus was shot at a tunnel checkpoint in the south of Jerusalem, one of whom was seriously injured.New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.US stocks "Seven Sisters" | Tesla and Google A closed up more than 5%, both hitting record highs. On Wednesday (December 11), in "Magnificent 7", Tesla closed up 5.93%, refreshing the record high of closing to 424.77 US dollars; Google's parent company, Alphabet(GOOGL), closed up 5.52%, the best performance for two consecutive days since 2015-accumulated up by about 11%, refreshing the historical high of closing to 195.40 US dollars; NVIDIA rose 3.14%, Amazon rose 2.32%, Meta Platforms rose 2.16%, Microsoft rose 1.28%, and Apple closed down 0.52% from its all-time high. In addition, AMD closed up 1.89%, TSMC ADR rose 1.39%, Berkshire Hathaway B shares closed down 0.24%, and Lilly fell 0.44%.

Brazil will auction a foreign exchange credit line of up to $4 billion on December 12th.The United Nations General Assembly voted to pass two Gaza-related resolutions, and the United States and Israel voted against them again. On December 11th, local time, the 10th emergency special session of the United Nations General Assembly resumed. Before the end of the General Assembly, the General Assembly voted to adopt two resolutions, calling for a ceasefire in Gaza and the release of detainees, and supporting the activities of UNRWA. Among them, the resolution supporting the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East in fulfilling its mandate received 159 votes in favor, 11 abstentions and 9 votes against. The resolution affirmed its full support for the Agency's mission and denounced the relevant Israeli legislation. The resolution calling for a ceasefire in Gaza received 158 votes in favour, 13 abstentions and 9 votes against. The resolution once again called on Gaza to cease fire and release the detainees, and emphasized the importance of accountability. The United States and Israel voted against both resolutions.The number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures reached a new high in recent five years. In 2024, the spot price of steel continued to hover near the production cost line, which made the development of steel enterprises face a staged dilemma. In order to stabilize daily operations, more and more iron and steel enterprises began to participate in the futures market, the most direct manifestation of which is the significant increase in the number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures. In November this year, the registered volume of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts in Shanghai Futures Exchange once reached 523,100 tons, a record high of nearly five years. Previously, the registered volume of rebar futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 210,100 tons in the past five years in September this year, and the registered volume of stainless steel futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 197,100 tons since listing in July this year. (SSE)